ARRIETA BASEBALL PROSPECTUS SWING AND MISS FREE
We feel like we’ve got the group to separate ourselves at this point in time and remain in first place for the remainder of the way.Contact Author the archives are now free.Īll Baseball Prospectus Premium and Fantasy articles more than a year old are now free as a thank you to the entire Internet for making our work possible. You expect to have really good competition from teams that are either equal with you or close behind. We know it’s gonna be a tough task, but that’s kind of what you deal with at the highest level of sports. “We expect to remain in first place throughout the remainder of the way. Arrieta expects the standings to hold true the rest of the way. A 10-2 record since the break and their win coupled with a Milwaukee Brewers’ loss had the Cubs back in first place for the night. That’s a really good feeling.”Īrrieta continues to brim with confidence and he along with his Cubs teammates appear to have their swagger back. “But you know what, I’m in a really good spot and I still feel like I’m getting stronger and stronger as every start passes by. “There’s still some situations where counts are dragging on and I’d like to get some outs earlier in the count,” Arrieta said. As he said, they’re getting him through innings and are effective, but it’s still not where he wants to be. In five July starts, he has a 2.25 ERA, shaving his season ERA down from 4.67 to 4.03.Īrrieta seems to be aware of all this, but he seems quite encouraged by the fact that his command has allowed him to lean on his sinker while he tries to get his breaking and off-speed stuff up to his standards. However, the Cy Jake doesn’t have to come back. Perhaps the key will be the changeup, which he’s using 75 percent more often than 2015 (but still only 7.8 percent of the time) and is inducing a lot more swings than in the past.įor Arrieta to get to another level or have any chance of chasing 2015 dreams, one of those pitches needs to become significantly more effective. The curve, which he’s using at a similar rate this season as 2015 (around 15 percent), is garnering slightly more whiffs, but significantly fewer swings. While he’s getting a similar whiff/swing rate on his slider as the 2015 season (around 30 percent), he’s using it less than half as often as he did that season and opponents are offering at it about eight percent less often. Right now the opposition just isn’t chasing Arrieta’s breaking stuff. Getting early outs, early contact.”Īnyone who watched Arrieta in the second of 2015 knows what he’s capable of, but it’s not realistic that he’ll ever recapture that moment when he looked like Bob Gibson.Īrrieta doesn’t have that type of slider any longer and in general, he doesn’t get the same volume of swing and miss (he had just four swing and misses on Wednesday night). I relied heavily on the sinker for the most part of the outing. I just wanna be able to have all my pitches available regardless of the situation. I think in the sixth inning I got all three outs with the changeup. “Been mixing in some off-speed at the same time. “I’ve had really good command with my sinker,” Arrieta said.
He’s been above that in nine of the last 10 regular season months and above 60 percent in six of those months.
Prior to last season, Arrieta had never used the sinker more than 51.6 percent of the time in a month. He’s actually used that pitch nearly 70 percent of the time this month, the highest of his career. (Mike DiNovo/USA TODAY Sports)Īccording to the early numbers, Arrieta used his two-seamer 64 times out of 98 pitches.
Cubs starting pitcher Jake Arrieta throws the ball to first base against the White Sox during the fourth inning at Guaranteed Rate Field.
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